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6 Nov 2008

A Conservative’s View of an Unfortunate Election

Author: Vinson Howell | Filed under: The Old Site


Jules Verne once wrote, “…hope is so strongly rooted in the heart of man.”  And right now, hope is… well hope is about all I have.  But as I watched the results trickle in from the election and literaly heard hundreds of college kids screaming in the streets of Statesboro Georgia celebrating the fact that Obama will be the 44th President of the United States, I wondered how our society could have fallen so far from rational thinking.  There are so many things that I dread to see and hear in the coming months, not the least of which is the endless lucubrations of the liberal candidates and pundits, but much more importantly I dread the administration of a man clinging so far to the left that he finds it relatively easy to associate with people like William Ayers, Bernadine Dorn, Rashid Khalidi, and Rev. Wright.  I dread the fact that all three branches of government will be left of center, and passing bills that defy the Constitution will become a regular occurrence in Washington.

As I said earlier, though, I do have hope.  I have hope because I know what other conservatives and traditionally minded individuals across this country know.  I know that this man that our country has elected to be president and seat holders in congress like Harry Reid and Nancy Pilosi will implement changes in this country that will open hundreds of thousdands of eyes all across this great nation.  Those eyes will see the mistake they made, and we will begin a new era of conservatism across the country. 

Right now I want to make a prediction.  To all who read this post, I want you to remember that on Thursday November 6th, 2008, Vinson Howell said that we will have an overwhelming turn toward conservatism in this country, much like the one that millions witnessed in the 1980s as Ronlad Reagan inspired our nation with his message of true hope and prosperity.  This turn will begin in the last two years of Obama’s first term when his promises are seen as empty and false.

Remember, you heard it here folks.  We will witness a movement which will rival that of any movement in ideology this country has ever seen.  This will not only be a movement in politics, but it will also be a movement that inspires moral conviction in this country again.  This is the hope that I hold on to.

I know that God is all powerful, and He could have swayed the hearts of voters in this country.  But He didn’t.  I am not going to try to specualte on the mind of our Creator, but I do know that Obama’s world views do not correspond with what I know the Bible to teach.  That being said, God allowed Obama to win for some reason.  Maybe that reason is to show us where apathy in moral conviction will take this country.  But as I said, I don’t know God’s intentions, so I won’t pretend I do.

But there is another hope that I hold on to.  This hope is not anchored in some prediction or epiphany.  This hope is anchored on the promise that God made to us.  The promise that God will heal the land of a nation when His people seek His face, humble themselves, and turn from their wicked ways.  That is one thing I CAN say for certain without speculation.  And in my mind, a conservative, morally led “revolution” — I hate to use that word — is the first step toward this healing.

There is a man who, I think, can lead this movement.  A young governor named Bobby Jindal has shown great courage and moral conviction as he has turned out the moral corruption in the state of Louisiana.  I think this man will be the next president of our great nation and will succeed President Elect Obama, who will become a one-term wonder in 2012. 

You may say that I am being very speculative or presumptuous in making this prediction, but here are the facts.

All of the pundits expected this election to be the highest, in terms of election turnout, in recent history.  Most claimed that the results would be a landslide in Obama’s favor because of this.  In actuality, the total number of voters in the 2004 election reached a sum of 121,067,007.  As of right now, the total number of voters in the 2008 election has been tallied at 120,817,868.  That’s a difference of 243,139.  Now, I understand that some votes haven’t been counted yet, and the process is still generating numbers.  But, the point is, even if the total number of voters does end up exceeding the number in 2004, one can hardly expect it to be by a vast majority.

Here is a further breakdown:

2004 Election:

Bush: 62,039,572 Votes     Kerry: 59,027,435 Votes

2008 Election:

Obama: 64,206,511 Votes     McCain: 56,611,357 Votes

This simply shows that, if the record democratic registration was responsible for the 64.2 million votes that Obama picked up, and there was still a deficit in votes this year as compared to 2004, there obviously was a lack of enthusiasm in the Republican base.  Simply stated, if the conservatives in this country had had a great candidate to vote for, their numbers would have been much higher.

Furthermore, had the mortgage crisis not occured, and had the fall of the stock market not ensued at such an inopportune time, we would have had a much different outcome in this election, because the polls showed the two candidates in a near tie preceding the economic turmoil.

Now, this ties back to a statement that I made earlier about how all three branches of government will lean left in this upcoming term.  As excited as this makes most democrats, history has shown us that the balance of power tends to even itself out in a cyclical way.  Simply stated, voters will tire of having one ideology dominate the political scene.  This is the quintessential factor that causes democracy to stay toward the center.  Although I am not a centrist, this quality of representative democracy does help prevent too much power accumulation by one party or ideology which can be detrimental to the country on either side.

This is where governor Jindal comes into the picture.  Bobby Jindal is the conservative equivalent of Barack Obama, in that he is charismatic, very bright (a Rhodes Scholar), and an excellent orator.  He will have the ability to inspire a traditionally-minded nation in a time that will long for inspiration. 

And that will lead to a conservative administation of which we can be proud and behind which we can proudly stand.

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7 Responses to “A Conservative’s View of an Unfortunate Election”

  1. It wasn’t a landslide by any means, but an eight million popular vote spread is still pretty significant when you measure recent past elections in which the margins were much, much closer. And it was lopsided as far as the electoral vote went.

    There is always going to be lack of enthusiasm on one side or another, so its not giving Obama his due credit to say he was only elected based on the fact that McCain’s reception among conservatives was lukewarm.

  2. I should also say that voters will tire of having one party in completele control. As even recent history proves, the republicans will make a comeback. But given the fact that many republicans were voted out during the 2006 elections, it goes both ways. A One party rule will always lose out no matter which side holds the power.

  3. Your second comment pretty much just restated my point in the article. That’s why I said these things are always cyclical. In response to your first comment, I didn’t say that the only reason Obama won was because of the lack of interest from the conservative base, it only made matters worse. It was the combination of the recent economic problems only weeks before the election and the apathetic sentiment of conservative voters that caused the loss to be inevitable. Honestly, with all of the things that Democrats had going for them this election, I’m rather suprised the spread wasn’t greater. Now that the “Bush Blame Game” has come to a close, democrats won’t have the luxury of blaming EVERYTHING on President Bush, and they’ll have to take responsibility for all of the problems that will come up… and believe me, there will be many more problems in the next few years.

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  5. I understand how can wonder how we don’t think rationally any more, but I disagree. Conservatives didn’t agree with McCain; after all, he backstabbed the conservative movement so many times. We need to get back on track with conservatism and the base will come out again.

  6. I wrote down November 6. I do hope you are right. I think there are considerably more barriers that might prevent it though. This current bunch of democrats have been planning many years how to win back and maintain the power. My blog titled the Steep Grade Ahead for Republicans outlines my belief why it will be tough.

  7. Clay, I agree with you that it will be tough, but we also have a couple of things going our way now. First, we have to consider the fact that, historically, balance of power is cyclical in the White House and in Congress. Secondly, I think that President Elect Obama will help our cause with some of his irrational and irresponsible policies once they come to fruition. But the true conservative base will have to push this movement forward if we do expect different results in 2010 for the congressional elections and 2012 for the presidential and congressional elections. We’re on the same page, though, in as far as the fact that something has to be done.

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